Abstract:Major coal mining layer of Jiangzhuang coal mine is chaning from No.3 coal layer to No.16 coal layer. In order to reasonably set and adjust mine drainage system of No,16 coal layer, carry out water prevention and control work, mine water gushing should be predicted accurately as much as possible. No.16 coal layer has been explored for many years. The rule of mine gushing water should be summarized and studied based on the data in recent years, and the gushing water is predicted. In this paper, hydrogeological conditions of Jiangzhuang coal mine has been briefly analyzed. Combining with actual condition of the mine, filling water source of No.16 coal layer has been analyzed. It is determined that main water source in No.16 coal layer is water-bearing layer of the lower part of No.10 ash aquifer. On these basis, water inflow of No.16 coal layer is predicted, and the prediction result is evaluated. By using large well method, comparison method and trend line prediction method, mine water discharge has been predicted. Traditional well method is improved and the trend line prediction method is used creatively. On this basis, the expected mine water discharge quantity is determined, which makes the forecast result more scientific and reasonable, which provides a reliable basis for the next work of mine prevention and control.