济南市人口城镇化与土地城镇化协调发展研究

Study on Coordinate Development among Population Urbanization and Land Urbanization in Jinan City

摘要:

人口城镇化与土地城镇化协调发展是推进新型城镇化的重点所在。通过构建指标评价体系和评价模型，从“人口—土地”协调的视角分析演算1995—2013年济南市的城镇化水平与协调发展状态。研究结果表明，济南市城镇化整体协调发展度从1995年的严重失调衰退阶段发展到2013年的优质协调发展阶段，但是从2008开始，人口城镇化滞后于土地城镇化发展，表现出一定的失调现象。研究结果可以为制定地区城镇化发展策略提供科学依据。

Abstract:

Promoting the coordinative development of population urbanization and land urbanization is the key of new type urbanization in China. In this paper, through setting up the evolution patterns between population urbanization and land urbanization, from the aspect of the coordinate development between population and land, urbanization and coordinate development model of Jinan city from 1995 to 2013 have been analyzed and calculated. It is showed that during this period, their coordination level is gradually increasing. In 1995, Jinan came to the stage with the extreme uncoordinated development，and in 2013, Jinan came to the stage with high quality coordinate development. But the speed of Land urbanization has been faster than population urbanization from 2008. There are imbalance phenomenon in the process of urbanization. The results can provide scientific basis for the formulation of regional urbanization development strategy.