Abstract:Due to massive exploitation of geothermal water in Dezhou city in many years, geothermal water level continued to decline, and formed a geothermal water depression cone centered in Dezhou City. Based on the analysis of water dynamics and geothermal exploitation rate in Guantao geothermal reservoir, the relationship between the amount of geothermal water withdrawed and water dynamics has been verified, and the impact of human activities have been furtherly revealed, and the correlation equation between the amount of geothermal water withdrawed and water dynamics has been set up. Through analysis on the equation trend, a warning exploitation rate of geothermal water in Guantao reservoir is put forward. It will provide a rational and scientific basis for the sustainable development and utilization of geothermal resource