残差辨识模型在菏泽市区深层地下水水位预测中的应用

APPLICATION OF RESIDUAL SEPARATING MODEL TO WATER LEVEL PREDICATION OF DEEP GROUNDWATER IN HEZE CITY

摘要:

菏泽市区深层地下水由于长期大量开采，８０年代中期就已形成降落漏斗，且中心水位逐年下降，漏斗范围不断扩大。根据菏泽市区１９８７～１９９７年深层地下水动态监测资料，应用残差辨识预测模式对其水位作了短期预测，并对预测结果进行了后验差检验，预测精度较高。

Abstract:

Due to long time excessive mining of deep groundwater in Heze city, funnels of depression have been formed from the middle stage of 80′s, the water level in the center part has been depressing every year, and the scope of funnels of depression has been widening. According to the dynamic monitoring information of deep groundwater from 1987 to 1997, applying residual separating predication model, the water level has been predicated in a short time, and the result has been proved to be with high finess by aft...