倾斜平原区地下水的开发决策与管理──以济宁地区为例

A Stratigic Decsision and Management for the exploitation of Grounclwater in the Inclinet Plain Area──Citing Jining Area as an Example

摘要:

在多年监测资料的基础上，根据倾斜平原区的水文地质特征，建立地下水水位降速与大气降水、地下水开采量的回归方程，对不同大气降水、地下水开采量条件下的地下水水位降速进行了预测。在考虑了大气降水概率、保证率及不同降水时地下水开采量概率的条件下，对地下水水位降速进行了随机综合决策。依据不确定决策法中的乐观系数法，获得了不同大气降水前提下，地下水开采量的最佳对策，并提出了地下水开发管理的原则。

Abstract:

Based on the data of many year’s monitoring,and auording to the hgdrogeological features of the slanting plain area, a regrsion equation describing the relationship of the falling rate ofgroundwater lerel with the atmospheric precipitation and the extraction rate of gnoundwater hasfeen set up;and the falling rate of groundwater level at various conclitions of the extraction rateand the atmospheric precipitation has feen porecastecl.Ln consideration of the condition of theprotatinlity and guaranteed rate o...